Anil Kumar Goel’s 290 crore bet on Sugar Stocks

Anil Kumar Goel is one of the veteran value investors. One of his major stakes is in KRBL. As we go through the public disclosures he is one of the few investors who continues to remain invested for long periods of time.

In the last 2-3 years the investor has picked up a substantial stakes in UP based Sugar companies.

Just take this example of Dhampur Sugar Mills. As of December end has more than 10% stake in the company.

NAME QTR ENDED QTY ADDED QTY HOLD HOLDING %   NAME QTR ENDED QTY ADDED QTY HOLD HOLDING %
ANIL GOEL Jun-16 1295000 1295000 1.95   SEEMA GOEL Sep-16 900000 900000 1.36
ANIL GOEL Sep-16 1090000 2385000 3.59   SEEMA GOEL Dec-16 34000 934000 1.41
ANIL GOEL Dec-16 594071 2979071 4.49   SEEMA GOEL Mar-17 146000 1080000 1.63
ANIL GOEL Mar-17 1100929 4080000 6.15   SEEMA GOEL Jun-17 410000 1490000 2.24
ANIL GOEL Jun-17 600000 4680000 7.05   SEEMA GOEL Sep-17 234000 1724000 2.6
ANIL GOEL Sep-17 473000 5153000 7.76   SEEMA GOEL Dec-17 189000 1913000 2.88
ANIL GOEL Dec-17 38000 5191000 7.82            
                     
TOTAL HOLDINGS   5191000           1913000 7104000 10.7

As of yesterdays closing the total bet on the sector is now worth 290 crores roughly.

VALUATION  TOTAL QTY CMP  AMOUNT ( Rs )
DHAMPUR 7104000 213 1513152000
DWARIKESH 11540000 41.6 480064000
TRIVENI 6620000 69.35 459097000
UTTAM 3054000 129.5 395493000
AVADH 54375 818 44478750
       
TOTAL AMOUNT     2892284750

Source – www.bseindia.com

Sugar maybe a regulated sector but the amount of earnings the companies have started making from Power and Ethanol is becoming a major portion of their EBIDTA.

If the end prices of sugar remain close to the production cost or make the business a little profitable on an average over the next 3 years this could be one interesting sector as these companies could have huge cash flows. Warrants a detailed study.

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